Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 116.560409 135.072504 157.166137 185.954287 223.216401 270.927602 338.597421
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 91.303906 113.096828 141.984990 184.672963 249.275357 349.617142 533.109442
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 75.835077 97.921746 129.244386 179.701269 265.457788 421.585872 785.227208
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 66.327286 88.351162 121.241199 178.018215 284.555651 509.425805 1189.025603
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 60.030884 82.062440 116.437445 179.507849 309.270016 627.386291 1939.168706
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 53.887530 74.973978 108.884133 173.859801 317.032118 712.906764 2910.991392
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 51.424026 73.219797 109.708761 183.909097 364.343592 966.820317 7067.020524
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 47.131112 67.932346 103.513582 178.271691 370.649600 1093.572262 13372.848287
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 44.351566 64.830069 100.744349 179.180009 395.541182 1346.500998 47368.334972
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 41.566303 61.416305 96.906669 176.820325 410.143251 1588.945841 437170.731261
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 40.763951 61.330351 99.326821 189.553803 481.690858 2445.802475 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.097876 63.271748 106.009202 214.977672 624.330157 5222.207433 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 38.706516 60.197123 102.407203 213.609497 662.878114 7597.037758 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 36.535975 57.367355 99.023796 212.300094 704.822202 11934.791736 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 34.268706 54.153908 94.403529 206.259580 718.674987 17116.707889 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 32.516924 51.779398 91.338214 204.210823 756.259099 30983.792986 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 31.188416 50.109492 89.636768 206.036702 823.814133 92428.889004 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 29.465991 47.529632 85.553582 199.131421 825.347718 192805.458001 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 28.976309 47.355585 87.037052 211.433562 997.131606 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 27.511528 45.102375 83.313558 204.524091 997.264805 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 26.567876 43.847132 81.875221 205.635940 1080.803914 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 25.507580 42.280536 79.511110 202.748677 1122.248569 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.340743 42.550550 81.741796 218.373200 1432.642971 NaN NaN